This course, taught by Sourafel Girma Nottingham will address the following topics: Exploratory data analysis - Robust standard errors and applications - Discrete choices model - Microeconometric Policy Evaluation Methods for Observational In this series of lectures, we will explore the pattern and consequences of trade. We will start with the simplest approach to trade: trade among perfectly competitive economies under constant returns to scale. We first study, in a general The objective of this course is to serve as a practical guide for trade policy analysis with the gravity model of trade.
The course offers a comprehensive and balanced approach between theory and empirics: It describes best practices for The aim of the Alumni-Association is to nurture contacts between current and former participants of the Advanced Studies Program as well as between participants and researchers at the Kiel Institute.
It furthers interaction amongst alumni from different years through a variety of events and meetings.
- Relationships between the pillars of central bank governance.
- Christian Spirituality: A Historical Sketch;
- Ave Maria;
This is a particular reunion with a lot to share not only about current issues in Global Economic affairs, but also to relive those unique moments as ASP student and enlarge your ASP community and more. Welcome Home! Home Institut Ausbildung.
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Upcoming Courses. The goal can never justify the means.
The European Central Bank
The cure must not be worse than the disease. Policymakers must also ensure that they do not become a source of disruptions by intervening too strongly and too often. They should strive to be as predictable as possible and conduct policies based on simple rules with as little discretion as possible. This is in line with the discussion on "rules rather than discretion" in monetary policy and Friedman's fixed monetary growth rule.
It is not modest.
Accession Countries and ERM II
The ECB has become an inflation targeter with a very precise target for a precisely defined variable HICP that is structurally undershooting inflation and thus will undermine the credibility and independence of the ECB over time. Furthermore, the risks inherent in the ECB's current policy are large, while the ailment itself seems relatively minor: There was no inflation target, and the monetary pillar was intended to contribute predictably to the creation of conditions for price stability over the medium term.
The ECB should consider returning to its original strategy. The ECB is not the only central bank with a problematic strategy.
In fact, all central banks that are inflation targeters, i. The remarkable thing is that the ECB did not adopt the strategy of inflation targeting until the very moment that problems with the strategy became visible. Furthermore, once it did adopt this flawed strategy, it then also set a very precise target.
What is needed is a fundamental review of the strategy of inflation targeting. The aim of such a review would be to bring back modesty and prudence to the manner in which monetary policy is conducted. This need has only increased because of the existence of Knightian uncertainty, which confronts all central banks. Until recently, important central banks, such as the ECB and the Federal Reserve System, have shown few signs of wanting to conduct such a review of their monetary policy strategies. However, there has been increasing concern among some leading central bankers that the models that are used in the context of inflation targeting no longer work.
While we welcome this policy re-evaluation, we fear that they are looking for the solution in the re-specification of their policy models. They will search for knowledge about the inflation process and the economy, which in principle is not available. The answer cannot come from alternative policy models, but rather from a different strategy.
Specifically for the ECB, this means that no policy should be pursued that is at odds with the principle of the prohibition of monetary financing. Finally, the policy should preferably be in line with the no-bailout clause instead of undermining it.
Advanced Studies Program (ASP) - Kiel Institute
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4. De Haan , S. The European Central Bank: Central bank independence under threat? Analysis and evidence of how the factors that give rise to boom-bust cycles in fast-growing developing economies also enhance long-run growth. Theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between retirement decision and pension systems, with policy recommendations for reversing the current trend toward early retirement.
By Cigno, Alessandro ; Werding, Martin. Examines the way pension policy and child-related benefits affect fertility behavior and productivity growth. This book presents theoretical arguments to the effect that public pension coverage as such will reduce aggregate fertility and may raise aggregate household savings.
By Wolf, Holger C.
Takes a balanced look at the effects of currency board regimes on inflation, output growth, and macroeconomic performance more generally.
Related The European Central Bank: Credibility, Transparency, and Centralization (CESifo Book Series)
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